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-- ESP Race Shape

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ESP Race Shape

PhilCVG
3/20/2011
10:18:49 PM

Can anyone explain that factor to me?

I see it broken out by:

E-E-E
E-E
etc.

In the data window. Just wondering what it means so I can better make use of it.

jeff
3/21/2011
5:30:44 AM

ESPRaceShape is the result of an algorithm that counts the number of horses having specific run styles in a race. The concept behind it is that races can be classified according to "shape" and that races with similar "shapes" have a tendency to behave in a certain way.

The algorithm produces 11 separate race shapes, each assigned an integer value between 1 and 11. Here's a chart:


ESPRaceShape -

Number Text    Description
------ -----   -----------
1      EEE     3 or more E horses
2      EE      2 E horses
3      E       1 E horse, 0 EP horses
4      E-EP    1 E horse, 1 or more EP horses
5      EP-EP   0 E horses, 2 or more EP horses
6      EP      0 E horses, 1 EP horse, 0 P horses
7      EP-P    0 E horses, 1 EP horse, 1 or more P horses
8      P-P     0 E horses, 0 EP horses, 2 or more P horses
9      P       0 E horses, 0 EP horses, 1 P horse
10     P-S     0 E horses, 0 EP horses, 1 P horse, 1 or more S horses
11     S       0 E horses, 0 EP horses, 0 P horses, 1 or more S horses

-jp

.

tanix
3/21/2011
2:41:55 PM

Are these running styles pulled straight from the HDW running style designation or are they computed by JCapper using some other method?

jeff
3/21/2011
3:47:17 PM

ESPRaceShape uses run style as read from the data file.

-jp

.

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JCapper 101 -- ESP Race Shape

JCapper 101
-- ESP Race Shape