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AndrewH
5/28/2013
3:35:18 PM		Has anyone else noticed that JPR ROI is very low this year so far compared to last year. I think by .05? Crazy. Win percentage as down by a percent. Is this consistent with older years as well?

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Charli125
5/29/2013
11:17:50 AM		I noticed it was starting to perform worse, and I think that's due to speed not performing as well as discussed in another thread. I went back and did some work on my UPR because of this and have seen a huge increase in performance.

I don't think JPR ever changes because we use it as a factor in our UDM's and it could screw things up, but you can edit your UPR as much as you want. If Jeff did find a way to improve it, he'd have to update it everywhere in the system and it could have a lot of impact on a lot of areas of the program.

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Caveat
5/29/2013
11:51:49 AM
OK Guys...


This is what I get for past months with JPR Rank #1
To be its looks like May is reving up...it looks like 2-3 % lower this year thou


code:
      1     -749.10    5100.00     0.8531     697    2550   .2733     0.9793  JAN
      2     -690.60    5232.00     0.8680     713    2616   .2726     0.9765  FEB
      3    -1340.80    6784.00     0.8024     894    3392   .2636     0.9443  MAR
      4    -1141.20    6676.00     0.8291     925    3338   .2771     0.9928  APR
      5     -637.20    7992.00     0.9203    1144    3996   .2863     1.0257  MAY
      6        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000  JUN
      7    -1210.20   10564.00     0.8854    1489    5282   .2819     1.0100  JUL
      8    -1352.30   10668.00     0.8732    1503    5334   .2818     1.0095  AUG
      9     -591.90    9652.00     0.9387    1402    4826   .2905     1.0408  SEP
     10     -919.40    8072.00     0.8861    1164    4036   .2884     1.0333  OCT
     11    -1174.50    6886.00     0.8294     943    3443   .2739     0.9813  NOV
     12     -711.60    6052.00     0.8824     804    3026   .2657     0.9519  DEC
     13



~Edited by: Caveat  on:  5/29/2013  at:  11:50:38 AM~

~Edited by: Caveat  on:  5/29/2013  at:  11:51:49 AM~

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Charli125
5/29/2013
12:05:44 PM		I don't remember how to make the table look pretty like yours, but here's mine for all of 2012 and 2013 through April. Still have some work to do with regard to weighting, but other than that I'm pretty happy with my UPR.

UPR:

By: Calendar Month

Month P/L Bet Roi Wins Plays Pct Impact
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
1 -1393.50 10656.00 0.8692 1545 5328 .2900 0.9695
2 -957.70 11128.00 0.9139 1639 5564 .2946 0.9848
3 -1548.80 13514.00 0.8854 2028 6757 .3001 1.0034
4 -1971.80 13494.00 0.8539 1951 6747 .2892 0.9667
5 -863.60 9812.00 0.9120 1482 4906 .3021 1.0099
6 -630.60 11352.00 0.9445 1709 5676 .3011 1.0066
7 -1269.00 10564.00 0.8799 1498 5282 .2836 0.9482
8 -1274.80 10668.00 0.8805 1615 5334 .3028 1.0122
9 -831.80 9652.00 0.9138 1504 4826 .3116 1.0419
10 -575.90 8072.00 0.9287 1306 4036 .3236 1.0818
11 -1030.40 6830.00 0.8491 1043 3415 .3054 1.0211
12 -822.40 6052.00 0.8641 895 3026 .2958 0.9888

JPR

By: Calendar Month

Month P/L Bet Roi Wins Plays Pct Impact
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
1 -1256.50 10656.00 0.8821 1435 5328 .2693 0.9685
2 -908.60 11128.00 0.9184 1518 5564 .2728 0.9810
3 -1844.10 13514.00 0.8635 1846 6757 .2732 0.9824
4 -2014.00 13496.00 0.8508 1835 6748 .2719 0.9778
5 -1020.60 9812.00 0.8960 1427 4906 .2909 1.0459
6 -958.10 11352.00 0.9156 1613 5676 .2842 1.0218
7 -1087.00 10564.00 0.8971 1460 5282 .2764 0.9939
8 -1446.20 10668.00 0.8644 1475 5334 .2765 0.9943
9 -576.60 9652.00 0.9403 1420 4826 .2942 1.0580
10 -741.10 8072.00 0.9082 1189 4036 .2946 1.0593
11 -1291.40 6830.00 0.8109 922 3415 .2700 0.9708
12 -843.70 6052.00 0.8606 796 3026 .2631 0.9459

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JimG
5/29/2013
3:26:57 PM		Agree with Charlie that early speed not performing as well can affect the JPR and JRating ROI. I think it is important to look at it by track, once you have a good sampling and split by turf/dirt.

For me, I focus on my UPR for turf racing. Always have since the advent of UPR in the program. Dirt racing at tracks I play tend to do good with JPR and JRating.

And I'll throw this out. AFR has been really good at all the tracks I play thus far this year. My experience is it will mostly even out by years end. It usually does.

Jim

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Charli125
5/29/2013
5:48:31 PM		That's really why I love having both. JPR will always be stable and will remain the same, while UPR can change with changing trends. You always have a strong baseline with JPR in my opinion.

I don't use AFR much, but will take a look.

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Caveat
5/29/2013
9:51:43 PM

Agree with Jim... AFR and its counterpart ,form consensus, has shown leading the pack in most UDM's I have-looked at

mike

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Caveat
5/29/2013
9:54:13 PM		Charlie..

To get the pretty picture, just highlight the numbers from the table and then click "CODE" on the left

Mike

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AndrewH
6/29/2013
10:47:17 AM		JPR has been back on the rise the last few months! I had a feeling when I first posted this that JPR would come back up.

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