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| By | Understanding reports | |
| rosenowsr 5/16/2012 6:36:12 PM | Trying to wrap my head around what these reports are actually telling me. Doing a sql search for all tracks, by tracks. Tells you the number of plays and wins, (which gives you a rough idea of field size: 100 plays and 10 wins means an average of 10 horses per race. Next on the report is win%, win % is the percent of wins divided by the number of plays. Next win impact is the number of real wins divided by cpace1 wins. Am I reading the report correct. As long as I am rambling on, when a person looks a a report they usually just look a the number 1 slot. Buy value is more likely to be found in the slot other than number one. Am I understanding this right???
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| jeff 5/17/2012 12:29:43 AM | You've got it mostly right. Here is a link to a text file that contains Key Factor Reports showing results on dirt surfaces for two meets recently underway... Delaware Park and Northlands Park: http://www.JCapper.com/messageboard/reports/Impact_Study_05162012.txt Based on the data so far, DEL looks to be the more speed of the two. Why do I say that? Because at DEL the early pace based factors appear to be outperforming their late pace counterparts. Looking at NPX, the reverse appears to be true. What the Key Factors Report does is give you a snapshot spanning a defined time period (the sample I posted spans the most recent 15 calendar days) of how the top ranked horse for each factor on the report has been performing. From there, you have the ability to "drill down" into the data by running a follow up query for the same time period - this time with the data broken out by specific breakout factor - one that you are curious about. To see an example of this, peek beneath the Key Factors Report for NPX in the linked to text file. There you'll find a follow up sample - again covering the most recent 15 calendar days - but this time I've broken the data out by rank for FigConsensus rank. No guarantees that early or late tendencies will continue to perform in the same manner going forward at any one track. But the reports do allow you to see how things have been playing during the time period of your sample. Hope I managed to explain most of that in a way that makes sense. -jp . ~Edited by: jeff on: 5/17/2012 at: 12:29:43 AM~
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