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rkskipster
7/26/2011
9:29:53 AM
jeff or anybody in the know, what is upr opinion prob? also can you recreate playlist factor ---avoid favorite last out -- in a sql udm ? thanks in advance rick

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jeff
7/26/2011
8:29:24 PM
UPROpinionProb is a probability estimate generated by an algorithm using numeric UPR value and UPR gap for each horse in the race as inputs.

The resulting prob estimate is calculated before the odds are known.




Odds last start and rank for odds last start are not part of the starterhistory table schema - and are therefore not available in sql UDMs.

Note: I did do quite a bit of R&D before reaching a decision about odds from prior races. I decide that other pieces of info offered more value - and therefore made it into the table schema.

-jp

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