Track Profile Fit Track Profile Fit exists on a scale of 0 to 3.50 and represents how strongly or how poorly a given starter "fits" or "doesn't fit" track profile suggested by the "label" or numeric values between 1 and 5 used to designate track weight on the Track Weight Report in the JCapper Data Window. Notes: 1. A Track Profile Fit value of 0.00 indicates there is insufficient data to make the Track Profile Fit calculation. 2. A Track Profile Fit value of 2.50 indicates a horse should be strongly disadvantaged by the track weight of the surface it is being asked to race on today. 2. A Track Profile Fit value of 2.75 indicates a horse should be somewhat disadvantaged by the track weight of the surface it is being asked to race on today. 3. A Track Profile Fit value of 3.00 indicates a horse should be neither advantaged or disadvanted by the track weight of the surface it is being asked to race on today. 4. A Track Profile Fit value of 3.25 indicates a horse should be somewhat advantaged by the track weight of the surface it is being asked to race on today. 5. A Track Profile Fit value of 3.50 indicates a horse should be strongly advantaged by the track weight of the surface it is being asked to race on today. 2015 YTD CPACE RANK=1 SAMPLE: The data sample below is limited to CPace rank=1 starters only and the sample results are broken out by Track Profile Fit. The sample is from my ytd 2015 database current through Fri 08-21-2015. query start: 8/22/2015 10:02:36 AM query end: 8/22/2015 10:03:02 AM elapsed time: 26 seconds Data Window Settings: Connected to: C:\JCapper\exe\JCapper2.mdb 999 Divisor Odds Cap: None SQL: SELECT * FROM STARTERHISTORY WHERE RANKF20=1 AND [DATE] >= #01-01-2015# AND [DATE] <= #08-21-2015# ORDER BY [DATE], TRACK, RACE Data Summary Win Place Show ----------------------------------------------------- Mutuel Totals 47755.10 47019.50 45951.30 Bet -55310.00 -55310.00 -55310.00 ----------------------------------------------------- P/L -7554.90 -8290.50 -9358.70 Wins 6472 11275 14606 Plays 27655 27655 27655 PCT .2340 .4077 .5282 ROI 0.8634 0.8501 0.8308 Avg Mut 7.38 4.17 3.15 By: Track Profile Fit >=Min < Max P/L Bet Roi Wins Plays Pct Impact -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -999.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 0.00 0.25 17.90 452.00 1.0396 64 226 .2832 1.2101 0.25 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 0.50 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 0.75 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 1.00 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 1.25 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 1.50 1.75 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 1.75 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 2.00 2.25 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 2.25 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 2.50 2.75 76.80 284.00 1.2704 27 142 .1901 0.8125 2.75 3.00 -1648.90 12062.00 0.8633 736 6031 .1220 0.5215 3.00 3.25 -3014.20 23576.00 0.8721 2857 11788 .2424 1.0356 3.25 3.50 -1960.60 9698.00 0.7978 1287 4849 .2654 1.1341 3.50 3.75 -1025.90 9238.00 0.8889 1501 4619 .3250 1.3886 3.75 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 4.00 4.25 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 4.25 4.50 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 4.50 999999.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 2015 YTD EARLYCONSENSUS RANK=1 SAMPLE: The data sample below is limited to EarlyConsensus rank=1 starters only and the sample results are broken out by Track Profile Fit. The sample is from my ytd 2015 database current through Fri 08-21-2015. query start: 8/22/2015 10:27:38 AM query end: 8/22/2015 10:27:54 AM elapsed time: 16 seconds Data Window Settings: Connected to: C:\JCapper\exe\JCapper2.mdb 999 Divisor Odds Cap: None SQL: SELECT * FROM STARTERHISTORY WHERE RANKF19=1 AND [DATE] >= #01-01-2015# AND [DATE] <= #08-21-2015# ORDER BY [DATE], TRACK, RACE Data Summary Win Place Show ----------------------------------------------------- Mutuel Totals 52908.90 50980.60 49382.90 Bet -58676.00 -58676.00 -58676.00 ----------------------------------------------------- P/L -5767.10 -7695.40 -9293.10 Wins 6637 11635 15111 Plays 29338 29338 29338 PCT .2262 .3966 .5151 ROI 0.9017 0.8688 0.8416 Avg Mut 7.97 4.38 3.27 By: Track Profile Fit >=Min < Max P/L Bet Roi Wins Plays Pct Impact -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -999.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 0.00 0.25 -22.20 460.00 0.9517 65 230 .2826 1.2492 0.25 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 0.50 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 0.75 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 1.00 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 1.25 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 1.50 1.75 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 1.75 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 2.00 2.25 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 2.25 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 2.50 2.75 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 2.75 3.00 -1023.60 15342.00 0.9333 973 7671 .1268 0.5607 3.00 3.25 -2634.70 25552.00 0.8969 3128 12776 .2448 1.0823 3.25 3.50 -1268.90 9156.00 0.8614 1236 4578 .2700 1.1934 3.50 3.75 -817.70 8166.00 0.8999 1235 4083 .3025 1.3370 3.75 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 4.00 4.25 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 4.25 4.50 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 4.50 999999.00 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000